Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 121.830465 138.600946 157.095801 179.048000 204.448220 232.978579 267.542819
2026-01-25 97.211472 118.976972 144.994538 178.551847 220.924494 272.960649 342.180572
2026-02-01 83.409866 107.564324 138.163145 180.101478 236.599909 310.800103 416.820752
2026-02-08 72.306656 97.174686 130.162680 177.634601 245.037365 338.569402 480.398395
2026-02-15 65.064187 90.606973 125.868432 178.819974 257.566588 372.328714 555.916712
2026-02-22 59.741815 85.867551 123.240609 181.555997 272.000587 409.856643 641.574048
2026-03-01 53.498925 79.004353 116.623078 177.301410 274.920846 429.690924 701.503365
2026-03-08 48.483095 73.388096 111.164382 173.988052 278.550464 450.540761 765.336431
2026-03-15 44.621952 69.122681 107.275114 172.581468 284.838447 476.093797 840.366493
2026-03-22 42.868134 67.976549 108.131499 178.919192 304.693804 526.908689 968.066016
2026-03-29 41.101927 66.614441 108.447190 184.266363 323.273570 577.526919 1102.816487
2026-04-05 38.406303 63.448440 105.421059 183.380855 330.351671 607.626056 1201.410607
2026-04-12 36.432476 61.556489 104.769459 187.396879 348.424079 663.704247 1368.791105
2026-04-19 33.876660 58.443491 101.725893 186.761684 357.734377 704.451973 1512.588173
2026-04-26 31.920790 56.202096 100.000792 188.381256 371.656807 756.566956 1691.805784
2026-05-03 29.615085 53.099292 96.362798 185.787858 376.487962 789.959356 1833.645042
2026-05-10 28.020914 51.172261 94.742974 187.033589 389.553998 843.287667 2034.782518
2026-05-17 26.761021 49.762030 93.970563 189.909225 406.515245 908.006232 2278.516138
2026-05-24 24.816686 46.850837 89.957088 185.437630 406.280373 932.105876 2419.241698
2026-05-31 23.155083 44.362210 86.571729 181.955668 407.871692 960.857507 2579.005129
2026-06-07 21.835064 42.453616 84.206594 180.477615 414.026929 1001.977603 2783.417912
2026-06-14 21.364994 42.244480 85.370694 187.137861 440.956681 1101.131456 3184.650777
2026-06-21 20.821305 41.833109 86.058446 192.758129 466.065646 1199.727835 3609.067667